1. Joint Modeling
1.1 Trace plots for convergence check
The current MCMC setting is:
- 300000 iteration;
- 200000 burn-in;
- 100 thinning.
1.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check
## Potential scale reduction factors:
##
## Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum 1.00 1.01
## LDevsum 1.01 1.03
## dh0 1.01 1.01
## dh1 1.01 1.01
## dl0 1.01 1.02
## dl1 1.03 1.12
## dl2 1.00 1.02
##
## Multivariate psrf
##
## 1.05
1.3 ACF Plots
Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:
- Total deviance;
- Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.
1.4 WAIC results
| LevelH | LevelL | |
|---|---|---|
| DIC | 1215.35111 | 22057.7556 |
| DIC3 | 1158.56182 | 22143.5979 |
| PWAIC | 43.18035 | 229.8395 |
| WAIC | 1185.76558 | 22163.6084 |
2. Separate Modeling of High-Level
2.1 Trace plots for convergence check
The current MCMC setting is:
- 300000 iteration;
- 200000 burn-in;
- 100 thinning.
2.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check
## Potential scale reduction factors:
##
## Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum 0.999 1.00
## LDevsum 1.003 1.01
## dh0 1.042 1.14
## dh1 1.043 1.15
## dl0 1.120 1.33
## dl1 1.057 1.12
## dl2 1.026 1.08
##
## Multivariate psrf
##
## 1.05
2.3 ACF Plots
Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:
- Total deviance;
- Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.
2.4 WAIC results
| H0a | |
|---|---|
| DIC | 1222.39219 |
| DIC3 | 1159.19061 |
| PWAIC | 43.36572 |
| WAIC | 1186.61257 |
3. Separate Modeling for Low-level
3.1 Trace plots for convergence check
The current MCMC setting is:
- 300000 iteration;
- 200000 burn-in;
- 100 thinning.
3.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check
## Potential scale reduction factors:
##
## Point est. Upper C.I.
## Devsum 1.00 1.01
## LDevsum 1.00 1.01
## dl0 1.12 1.33
## dl1 1.06 1.12
## dl2 1.03 1.08
##
## Multivariate psrf
##
## 1.03
3.3 ACF Plots
Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:
- Total deviance;
- Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.
3.4 WAIC results
| L2 | |
|---|---|
| DIC | 22070.0292 |
| DIC3 | 22149.6074 |
| PWAIC | 235.6663 |
| WAIC | 22170.3678 |